Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.905050 12.553150 14.319323 16.347416 18.606328 21.039395 23.852487
2025-09-14 8.551112 10.749667 13.273175 16.363086 20.022371 24.194995 29.288708
2025-09-21 7.202798 9.686711 12.689469 16.544390 21.315775 26.979434 34.157656
2025-09-28 6.157248 8.782872 12.102095 16.537376 22.232261 29.217624 38.342564
2025-10-05 5.519378 8.288000 11.925737 16.954756 23.613221 32.004638 43.239616
2025-10-12 4.956024 7.808165 11.692005 17.230485 24.768964 34.501137 47.817035
2025-10-19 4.428153 7.306786 11.362729 17.318144 25.635208 36.613308 51.934122
2025-10-26 3.826499 6.623577 10.704902 16.877424 25.722164 37.655859 54.636824
2025-11-02 3.348001 6.068725 10.173388 16.556542 25.924703 38.823064 57.505524
2025-11-09 2.930395 5.559903 9.659069 16.208122 26.042932 39.846685 60.178083
2025-11-16 2.579644 5.118794 9.205302 15.905786 26.190121 40.888929 62.880616
2025-11-23 2.238080 4.652423 8.667491 15.426685 26.031388 41.464526 64.915903
2025-11-30 2.040313 4.420850 8.496003 15.516184 26.741575 43.333488 68.881530
2025-12-07 1.850117 4.180859 8.288634 15.529020 27.325420 45.028193 72.640032
2025-12-14 1.706918 4.012403 8.187212 15.702654 28.158393 47.109887 77.014700
2025-12-21 1.551254 3.800365 7.989377 15.695935 28.693362 48.747219 80.764432
2025-12-28 1.468224 3.725489 8.030638 16.095787 29.896221 51.435467 86.156047
2026-01-04 1.374120 3.616087 7.997857 16.359977 30.880071 53.807078 91.122838
2026-01-11 1.266177 3.463519 7.870140 16.443976 31.560026 55.715471 95.421916
2026-01-18 1.111589 3.186419 7.477890 16.021697 31.357287 56.209354 97.534892
2026-01-25 0.986012 2.958362 7.161276 15.714295 31.329197 56.969592 100.068756
2026-02-01 0.871373 2.739690 6.843335 15.380563 31.232754 57.605062 102.409053
2026-02-08 0.772893 2.546242 6.559602 15.091016 31.194712 58.324947 104.889876